Posted by: Patrick Allen Foster | April 8, 2014

Recent Poll Shows Scottish Support for Leaving the UK at 47%

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In the campaign leading up to the Scottish referendum on independence (scheduled for this coming September), the Yes side is gaining ground. This is surprising: six months ago, it looked like support for the Yes vote had plateaued at around 30%. Now the Yes and No sides are statistically neck-and-neck.

I guess the Tory Party’s carefully crafted campaign strategy of alternately badgering and threatening the Scots has not had the desired results. And now members of the Tory leadership are starting to point fingers at each other to assign blame for the way the situation has developed.

Image Credit: Photo by Iain Lees, September 2007, and used under a CC BY-SA 2.0 license. Source: Wikimedia Commons.


  1. The Tories will prosper from pushing all those Labour votes into a separate country, so I don’t quite see why the threats, unless it’s just their Tory nature.

    (Embarked on C.V. Wedgwood’s books on the Civil War btw.)

    • Tory nature’s a big part of it (and the linked Keith Humphreys post goes into that), including a built-in conservative resistance to changing the status quo of the past 300 years. Also, David Cameron really really really doesn’t want to go down in history as “the Prime Minister Who Lost Scotland.”

      Many other Tories, especially below the very top leadership ranks, no doubt see the same electoral math you do, and so are not exactly straining themselves to convince the Scots to stay. That strategic lethargy is one thing that other Tories are criticizing in their current intra-party feuding.

    • Yah, I see “losing Scotland” as an excuse to bump Cameron for some other Tory leader, but the party will be crying crocodile tears. “Strategic lethargy” – I am going to steal that for a brief.

    • I’ve heard that Wedgwood also wrote a biography of Oliver Cromwell. Haven’t read it myself; don’t know if it was on your radar.

    • Yah, saw that on Goodreads, 120 pages or so. Presumably worth a look. I’m thinking I’ll read her books on the Civil War and then tackle the Fraser bio of Cromwell that’s been glaring at me from its shelf these past few years. So many books, so little time.

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